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RNA-ligand complexes and the attenuation of neutral confinement in the evolution of RNA secondary structures

Loreto, A.; Ugalde, E.; Espinosa-Soto, C.

2026-03-29 evolutionary biology
10.64898/2025.12.19.695547 bioRxiv
Show abstract

RNA molecules with identical nucleotide sequence can adopt different structures. Mutations can alter their properties; for example, some mutations increase the stability of a functionally relevant structure at the expense of other structures' stability. Interestingly, the structural diversity that a sequence produces is correlated to the number of structures that it can access upon mutation. Thus, enhancing a structure's stability can lead to neutral confinement, an evolutionary dead-end in which mutational access to novel structures is increasingly difficult. If structure is critical to biological function, how do RNA molecules escape neutral confinement? We developed a model in which an RNA molecule's function depends on binding to a ligand and we applied it to study sequences that fold according to RNA biophysics, also simulating their evolution. Our analyses and simulations identified effects that decrease the selective advantage of augmenting a structure's stability. By disfavouring evolution of highly stable structures and favouring the accumulation of genetic variation, these effects hinder neutral confinement. The most important effect stems from the sequestration of high affinity structures in RNA-ligand complexes and their replenishment through thermal fluctuations. In this perspective, a common scenario may help to explain how RNA evolution avoids coming to a halt.

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