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Ensemble forecasting of influenza activity and assessing its year-round dynamical characteristics during and post-COVID-19 pandemic periods in a sub-tropical location
2025-12-19
epidemiology
Title + abstract only
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Influenza forecasting in (sub-)tropical regions remains understudied due to year-round, irregular transmission patterns. Further, the variation in seasonality and transmission characteristic of influenza in post-COVID-19 pandemic could be attributed to various drivers to quantify for better understanding. To address this issue, this study introduced an ensemble forecasting approach that incorporates varied dataset lengths to forecast influenza activity in Hong Kong, integrating multi-stream surv...
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