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Levels and trends in fertility rates among adolescents aged 15-19 in 21 States and Union Territories in India from 1990 to 2050: A Bayesian Modelling Study

2025-12-19 public and global health Title + abstract only
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ObjectivesAdolescent fertility in India remains underexplored at the state level. This study estimates age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) for females aged 15-19 across all major Indian states and union territories (UTs) from 1990 to 2025 and generates probabilistic projections of state-level ASFRs for females aged 15-19 through 2050. DesignBayesian modelling based on fertility data from five phases of the India National Family Health Surveys (NFHSs) in 1992-93, 1998-99, 2005-06, 2015-16, and ...

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