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Left Atrial Calcification After Atrial Fibrillation Ablation Predicts Long-term Risk of Heart Failure Hospitalization

Nakata, T.; Miwa, N.; Hara, S.; Shimosato, H.; Setoguchi, M.; Ishizawa, T.; Hirano, H.; Sato, Y.; Kusa, S.; Hachiya, H.; Sasano, T.

2025-12-07 cardiovascular medicine
10.64898/2025.12.01.25341418 medRxiv
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BackgroundLeft atrial calcification (LAC) after atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation has recently been described, but its clinical significance and determinants remain insufficiently defined. MethodsAmong 1,741 patients who underwent first-time radiofrequency AF ablation between 2011 and 2018, 231 patients underwent both pre- and post-ablation chest CT. Patients were classified into an LAC group (n=71) and a non-LAC group (n=160). Baseline characteristics, ablation parameters, and calcification sites were analyzed. Independent predictors of LAC formation were identified using Cox proportional hazards models. Clinical outcomes, including heart failure (HF) hospitalization, stroke, and a composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, HF, stroke, or coronary intervention, were compared during long-term follow-up. ResultsOver a mean follow-up of 9.5 {+/-} 2.7 years, LAC was detected in 31% of patients, typically 7.3 {+/-} 3.1 years after ablation. LAC occurred most frequently at the lateral mitral annulus and right pulmonary veins. Independent predictors of LAC formation were non-paroxysmal AF (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.0-2.8, p=0.04), LA diameter >50 mm (HR 2.7, 95% CI 1.3-5.5, p<0.01), and ablation beyond the pulmonary veins (HR 2.3, 95% CI 1.3-4.2, p=0.04). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly higher HF hospitalization in the LAC group (log-rank p=0.02), while stroke incidence was similar between groups (p=0.50). The composite endpoint occurred more frequently in the LAC group (p=0.05). ConclusionLAC is a not uncommon late finding after AF ablation, particularly in patients with advanced atrial remodeling or extensive ablation. Its presence is associated with a higher risk of HF hospitalization, underscoring the importance of procedural planning and long-term imaging surveillance in AF ablation patients.

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