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Statistically-estimated tree biomass, stem density, and basal area for the upper Midwestern United States at the time of Euro-American settlement

Paciorek, C. J.; Cogbill, C. V.; Peters, J. A.; Goring, S. J.; Williams, J. W.; Mladenoff, D. J.; Dawson, A.; McLachlan, J. S.

2019-12-02 ecology
10.1101/856526 bioRxiv
Show abstract

We present gridded 8 km-resolution data products of the estimated biomass, basal area, and stem density of tree taxa at the time of Euro-American settlement of the midwestern United States for the states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, and Indiana. The data come from settlement-era Public Land Survey (PLS) data (ca. 0.8-km resolution) of trees recorded by land surveyors. The surveyor notes have been transcribed, cleaned, and processed to estimate biomass, basal area, and stem density at individual points on the landscape. The point-level data are then aggregated within grid cells and statistically smoothed using a statistical model that accounts for zero-inflated continuous data with smoothing based on generalized additive modeling techniques and approximate Bayesian uncertainty estimates. We expect this data product to be useful for understanding the state of vegetation in the midwestern United States prior to large-scale Euro-American settlement. In addition to specific regional questions, the data product can serve as a baseline against which to investigate how forests and ecosystems change after intensive settlement. The data products (including both raw and statistically smoothed estimates at the 8-km scale) are being made available at the LTER network data portal as version 1.0.

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