Analysing the safe and just operating space of agriculture in the world: past, present and future
Roy, A.; Pramanick, K.
Show abstract
Agriculture, along with industry and household sector are three major sectors of human consumption. Agriculture has proved to be a major contributor to exceeding planetary boundaries. Here, we have explored the impact of agriculture in the Earth system processes, through eight dimensions of planetary boundaries or safe operating spaces: climate change (10.73%), freshwater use (91.56%), arable land use (37.27%), nitrogen use (95.77%), phosphorus use (87.28%), ecological footprint (19.42%), atmospheric pollution (2.52% - 38.08%) and novel entities. In this work, we have also shown role of agriculture to the socio-economic development dimensions: gender equality, employment and economic growth. We have shown that the safe operating limits for agriculture are going to decline by almost 55% (climate change), 300% (freshwater use), 50-55% (arable land use), 180% (nitrogen use), 265% (phosphorus use) and 20% (ecological footprint) in 2050, if the most inefficient way of consumption is chosen and continued. To alleviate the role of agriculture in transgressing planetary boundaries, it is indispensable to comprehend how many roles of agriculture is playing and where which target should be set to framework the national agricultural policies in coherence with attaining sustainable development goals of UN by 2030.
Matching journals
The top 4 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- More sustainable vegetable oil: balancing productivity with carbon storage opportunities 94%
- Emissions of climate-altering species from open vegetation fires in the Mediterranean region - A review on methods and data 92%
- Air pollution, sociodemographic and health conditions effects on COVID-19 mortality in Colombia: an ecological study 92%
Similar papers in this journal
- Land-use change from food to energy: meta-analysis unravels effects of bioenergy on biodiversity and amenity 92%
- Intersecting vulnerabilities: Climatic and demographic contributions to future population exposure to Aedes-borne viruses in the United States 91%
- Modelling potential range expansion of an underutilised food security crop in Sub-Saharan Africa 89%
Similar papers in this journal
- Adverse health impacts of cooking with kerosene: A multi-country analysis within the Prospective Urban and Rural Epidemiology Study 91%
- Geospatial approach to investigate spatial clustering and hotspots of blood lead levels in children within Kabwe, Zambia 90%
- Non-target Analysis of Wastewater Treatment Plant Effluents: Chemical Fingerprinting as a Monitoring Tool. 90%
Similar papers in this journal
- Role of the atmospheric pollution in the Covid-19 outbreak risk in Italy 91%
- Wastewater based surveillance system to detect SARS-CoV-2 genetic material for countries with on-site sanitation facilities: an experience from Bangladesh 90%
- Response of Wastewater-Based Epidemiology Predictor for the Second Wave of COVID-19 in Ahmedabad, India: A Long-term Data Perspective 90%
Similar papers in this journal
- The effects of biodegradable mulch film on the growth, yield, and water use efficiency of cotton and maize in an arid region 92%
- Integrated cycles for urban biomass as a strategy to promote a CO2-neutral society - A feasibility study 91%
- Taranto’s long shadow? Cancer mortality shows alarming peaks for specific types in the most polluted city of Italy but also in surrounding towns 91%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.