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Prognostic impact of age and MDS-associated mutations in NPM1-mutated AML

Liu, V. M.; Othus, M.; Naru, J.; Ries, R.; Pogosova-Agadjanyan, E.; Appelbaum, F. R.; Chauncey, T. R.; Dietrich, E.; Erba, H. P.; Godwin, J. E.; Fitzgibbon, M. P.; Fang, M.; Lee, S. C.; Moseley, A.; Percival, M.-E.; Qin, G.; Radich, J. P.; Raychaudhuri, S.; Willman, C. L.; Meshinchi, S.; Stirewalt, D. L.

2025-11-06 hematology
10.1101/2025.11.03.25339099 medRxiv
Show abstract

Nucleophosmin-1 (NPM1) mutations define a major molecular subtype of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and is generally associated with favorable prognosis. However, the impact of myelodysplasia-associated mutations (MDSm+) on patient outcomes within this subgroup remains uncertain. We retrospectively analyzed 271 NPM1-mutated AML patients from three independent cohorts (SWOG, Fred Hutch, and Beat AML) to assess the prognostic significance of MDSm+ and its interaction with age. MDSm+ occurred in 17% of cases, most commonly involving SRSF2 and SF3B1. Although MDSm+ was associated with inferior overall survival compared to MDSm-in ELN2022 favorable-risk patients (HR 2.0, p=0.008), this effect was largely driven by worse outcomes in older patients ([≥]65 years) as older ELN22 favorable-risk patients had poor OS regardless of presence of MDSm+ compared to younger patients. After stratification of patients by age, there was not a significant difference between MDSm+ and MDSm-in either younger patients (HR 0.99, p=0.98) or older patients (HR 1.42, p=0.33). These findings indicate that MDSm+ in NPM1+ AML is not independently associated with adverse risk after adjusting for age and highlight the need for age-adjusted AML risk models.

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