System-level health profiling from blood DNA methylation with explainable deep learning
Martinez-Enguita, D.; Hillerton, T.; Akesson, J.; Lerm, M.; Gustafsson, M.
Show abstract
Genome-scale DNA methylation (DNAm) profiles capture organismal physiology, but most predictive models lack transparency and multi-level applicability. Here we develop an explainable framework that quantifies respiratory, cardiovascular, and metabolic status as bounded health scores (0-1) derived from sex-specific clinical reference ranges and disease penalties, and then predicts these scores from whole-blood DNAm. Using Generation Scotland and case-control samples (n = 14,496 individuals), we screened 39 covariates for disease relevance and DNAm predictability, yielding system- relevant panels that were aggregated into scores. We compressed DNAm profiles with a protein-interaction-guided autoencoder, and trained health predictors on 128- dimensional embeddings using fully connected networks. On held-out samples, models reproduced the composite scores with strong rank agreement (Spearman {rho} = 0.87, R2 = 0.71 for respiratory health; {rho} = 0.82, R2 = 0.66 for cardiovascular; {rho} = 0.81, R2 = 0.64 for metabolic) and recover expected population structure in a generally healthy cohort, with clear separation between "single-system low" and "multi-system low" phenotypes, and graded coupling across systems without redundancy. Further, the top features retrieved from each explainable predictor aligned with system biology: airway epithelial repair, hypoxia and inflammatory trafficking for respiratory; endothelial remodeling and cardiomyocyte programs for cardiovascular; glucose-lipid metabolism and metaflammation for metabolic. These results show that DNAm embeddings can yield accurate, transparent, and system-aware health profiling from blood, providing actionable summaries while revealing the molecular processes the models use to infer multi-system status. This approach positions DNAm embeddings plus interpretable penalty targets as a practical bridge from epigenomic signal to system-level triage and is extensible for evaluation in larger, more diverse cohorts.
Matching journals
The top 8 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
- Integrative polygenic risk score improves the prediction accuracy of complex traits and diseases 94%
- Polygenic scores capture genetic modification of the adiposity-cardiometabolic risk factor relationship 94%
- Blood-based epigenome-wide analyses of chronic low-grade inflammation across diverse population cohorts 94%
Similar papers in this journal
- Cardiovascular disease causes proinflammatory microvascular changes in the human right atrium 92%
- A prognostic molecular signature of hepatic steatosis is spatially heterogeneous and dynamic in human liver 91%
- Crowdsourcing assessment of maternal blood multi-omics for predicting gestational age and preterm birth 91%
Similar papers in this journal
- Heterogeneous metabolomic aging across the same age and prediction of health outcome 94%
- Construction of a multi-tissue cell atlas reveals cell-type-specific regulation of molecular and complex phenotypes in pigs 91%
- Human brain cell-type-specific aging clocks based on single-nuclei transcriptomics 90%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.