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Modelling the long-term demographic and epidemiological trends in Malawi

2025-09-28 public and global health Title + abstract only
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1Malawi is facing a dual burden of disease, with an increase in non-communicable diseases coinciding with still-high infectious disease burdens. What this will look like in the future, and how it will impact demand for healthcare, is unknown. In this study, we use the Thanzi La Onse (TLO) model - an individual-based "all diseases - whole health-system" model calibrated to Malawis demographic, epidemiological, and healthcare data - to project population, disease burdens, and healthcare demand fro...

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