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Projected sudden step-wise increase in risk of large measles outbreaks in the Netherlands as susceptible children enter secondary school in 2025/26

2025-08-29 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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BackgroundMany unvaccinated children were naturally immunised through infection during the last national measles epidemic in the Netherlands (2013/14). Over time susceptibility amongst school aged children in key under-vaccinated populations is likely to increase and warrants investigation. MethodsWe constructed a network to reflect the risk of transmission within and between schools in the Netherlands. Estimating school-level susceptibility rates using historical estimates and vaccine uptake. ...

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