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Smart Discharges improves post-discharge mortality among children with suspected sepsis in Uganda: A prospective before-after study

Wiens, M. O.; Zhang, C.; Nguyen, V.; Bone, J. N.; Kumbakumba, E.; Businge, S.; Tagoola, A.; Tenywa, E.; Sherine, S. O.; Byaruhanga, E.; Ssemwanga, E.; Nsungwa, J.; Olaro, C.; Ansermino, J. M.; Kissoon, N.; Singer, J.; Larson, C. P.; Lavoie, P. M.; Dunsmuir, D.; Moschovis, P.; Novakowski, S.; Trawin, J.; Komugisha, C.; Opar, B. T.; Tayebwa, M.; Mwesigwa, D.; West, N.; Mugisha, N. K.; Kabakyenga, J.

2025-08-27 public and global health
10.1101/2025.08.25.25334336 medRxiv
Show abstract

IntroductionPost-discharge mortality among children following an acute illness in low-resource settings is high and demands urgent attention. We aimed to assess the impact of Smart Discharges, a mortality prevention risk-differentiated approach to peri-discharge care among children under five years admitted with suspected sepsis. MethodsWe conducted a before-after two-phase study with staggered implementation at six hospitals in Uganda. During a baseline period (Phase-1), clinical prediction algorithms for post-discharge mortality were developed based on clinical and socio-demographic data collected at hospital admission. Outcomes, primarily mortality within six months of discharge, were compared against an interventional period (Phase-2). In the Smart Discharges intervention each family was given soap, a mosquito net, their risk category (low/medium/high/very high), counselling, and educational materials regardless of risk stratification, after which the intensity of recommended follow-up care was determined by age (0-6, 6-60 months) and predicted post-discharge mortality risk. ResultsOverall, 13,051 children were enrolled: Phase-1, n=6,955; Phase-2, n=6,096. Characteristics were similar between groups, including mean predicted post-discharge mortality risk (6.3% Phase-1 vs. 5.9% Phase-2). With Smart Discharges, 2,331/3,891 (59.9%) medium/high/very high-risk families attending all their scheduled visits. The observed post-discharge mortality rate was 439 (6.3%) in Phase-1 vs. 296 (4.9%) in Phase-2; adjusted hazard ratio 0.77 (95%CI 0.67 to 0.90) favouring the intervention. In Phase-1, 1,313 (18.9%) children were re-admitted to hospital vs. 1,024 (16.8%) in Phase-2. ConclusionA simple approach of risk assessment paired with education and engagement through scheduled follow-up after discharge is an appropriate strategy to improve child survival in low-resource settings.

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