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An evaluation of a Bayesian method to track outbreaks of known and novel influenza-like illnesses

Aronis, J. M.; Ye, Y.; Espino, J.; Michaels, M.; Hochheiser, H. M.; Cooper, G.

2025-08-26 epidemiology
10.1101/2025.08.22.25334257 medRxiv
Show abstract

Tracking known influenza-like illnesses, such as influenza, is an important problem in public health and clinical medicine. The problem is complicated by the clinical similarity and co-occurrence of many of these illnesses. Additionally, detecting a new or reemergent disease, such as COVID-19, is of paramount importance as recent history has shown. This paper describes the testing of a system that tracks known influenza-like illnesses and can detect the presence of a novel disease. (This manuscript is a preprint and has not been peer reviewed.)

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