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Nowcast-It: A Practical Toolbox for Real-Time Adjustment of Reporting Delays in Epidemic Surveillance
2025-08-21
epidemiology
Title + abstract only
View on medRxiv
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Reporting delays caused by delays in case detection, symptom onset after infection, seeking medical care, or diagnostics distort the accurate forecasting of diseases during epidemics and pandemics. This inherent delay between the time of symptom onset and the time a case is reported is known as the reporting delay. To address this, we introduce a practical nowcasting approach grounded in survival analysis and actuarial science, explicitly allowing for non-stationarity in reporting delay patterns...
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