Back

High-resolution single nucleotide polymorphisms detect chronological recombination events during Mpox Ib outbreak

Feehley, M. C.; Feehley, P. J.; Poyer, A. T.; Hsieh, Z.-Y.; Contreras, G. P.; Yeh, T.-Y.

2025-08-13 epidemiology
10.1101/2025.08.11.25333454 medRxiv
Show abstract

Viral recombination can rapidly generate new variants and influence outbreak severity. Currently, a method to track viral recombination events at high genomic resolution during natural transmission remains unavailable. Here we describe a novel linkage disequilibrium method and the first report of viral recombination events over time by using single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) as natural genetic markers. Combined with phylogenetic data, we analyzed mpox virus (MPXV) Ib genome during 2023-2025 outbreak and found that 71 recombination events among Ib genomes, yielding a recombination frequency (Rf) and rate of 0.16%/kbp and 0.11%/kbp/year, respectively. Phylogenetic time analysis also shows that recombination began as early as December 23, 2023. Rf of MPXV Ib is 8.8-fold lower compared to vaccinia virus (1.5%/kbp) in vitro. Recombination and linkage hotspots are enriched at both inverted terminal repeat and variable regions of MPXV Ib genome. Our data not only reports the first Rf and rate of natural human transmission in the poxvirus family but also provides a powerful genomic surveillance tool for better understanding transmission and evolution of any viral outbreak globally.

Matching journals

The top 8 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
Science China Life Sciences
29 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
11.6%
2
Journal of Virology
499 papers in training set
Top 1.0%
7.7%
3
Virus Evolution
155 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
7.1%
4
Nature Communications
5641 papers in training set
Top 26%
6.1%
5
Cell Discovery
57 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
5.4%
6
Scientific Reports
3612 papers in training set
Top 17%
5.4%
7
PLOS Pathogens
820 papers in training set
Top 4%
4.2%
8
Genomics, Proteomics & Bioinformatics
172 papers in training set
Top 0.5%
4.0%
50% of probability mass above
9
Quantitative Biology
12 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
3.4%
10
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
2444 papers in training set
Top 19%
2.7%
11
Journal of Medical Virology
140 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
2.6%
12
eLife
5828 papers in training set
Top 39%
2.6%
13
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses
46 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
2.3%
14
Viruses
332 papers in training set
Top 2%
2.1%
15
Frontiers in Microbiology
427 papers in training set
Top 5%
1.7%
16
PLOS ONE
5266 papers in training set
Top 51%
1.5%
17
PNAS Nexus
159 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.1%
18
BMC Genomics
406 papers in training set
Top 6%
1.1%
19
iScience
1154 papers in training set
Top 27%
1.1%
20
Frontiers in Genetics
230 papers in training set
Top 4%
1.1%
21
Communications Biology
993 papers in training set
Top 23%
1.1%
22
Microbiology Spectrum
469 papers in training set
Top 9%
1.1%
23
Science Advances
1243 papers in training set
Top 28%
1.0%
24
Epidemics
116 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.0%
25
PLOS Biology
486 papers in training set
Top 11%
0.9%
26
Emerging Microbes & Infections
74 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.8%
27
Eurosurveillance
83 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.8%
28
Molecular Biology and Evolution
542 papers in training set
Top 5%
0.8%
29
Cell
431 papers in training set
Top 10%
0.8%
30
Med
39 papers in training set
Top 0.7%
0.8%