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Emergent coexistence and the limits of reductionism in ecological communities

Aguade-Gorgorio, G.; Kefi, S.

2025-05-19 ecology
10.1101/2025.05.15.654235 bioRxiv
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Understanding if pairwise interactions explain the species composition of communities is a central goal in ecology. This question has been challenged by the observation of emergent coexistence, where microbial communities contain species that cannot coexist in pairs, suggesting the presence of non-pairwise mechanisms. Instead, we show that emergent coexistence arises naturally in species-rich models with pairwise interactions. Strikingly, this phenomenon does not require additional mechanisms like intransitive or higher-order interactions; rather, coexistence arises from dense networks of indirect effects. As diversity increases, we show that indirect effects become so intricate that pairwise interactions no longer predict community composition, revealing a fundamental limit to reductionist explanations of coexistence. Like chaos emerging from simple rules, our findings provide theoretical foundations to understand how unexpected species coexistence can emerge from pairwise interactions.

Published in PLOS Computational Biology (predicted rank #1) · training set

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