MicroProphet: A Digital Twin Framework for Predicting Microbial Community Dynamics with Personalized Precision
Zhang, Y.; Zhou, K.; Chen, X.; Zhang, H.; Chen, X.; Ning, K.
Show abstract
The ability to accurately predict the dynamic evolution of microbial communities is critical for advancing personalized medicine, precision intervention, and ecological system management. However, the irregular sampling, high missingness, and complex temporal behaviors that characterize longitudinal microbiome datasets present substantial challenges to reliable forecasting. Here we propose MicroProphet, a personalized digital twin framework capable of accurately forecasting microbial abundance trajectories from incomplete longitudinal observations without the need for data interpolation. By leveraging a time-aware Transformer architecture, MicroProphet reconstructs individualized microbial trajectories using as little as the initial 30% of time points, capturing critical transitional states through its attention mechanism. We demonstrate its robust cross-ecosystem generalizability across synthetic communities, human gut microbiomes, infant gut development, and corpse decomposition. In clinical contexts, MicroProphet enables early identification of disease-related microbial shifts and supports intervention timing optimization, exemplified in inflammatory bowel disease and antibiotic perturbation responses. By transforming incomplete and sparse data into actionable forecasts, MicroProphet establishes a foundation for real-time microbial monitoring, therapeutic decision support, and precision ecological management, paving the way for broader applications of digital twin systems in biology and personalized healthcare. HighlightsO_LIMicroProphet establishes a personalized digital twin framework for forecasting biological dynamics from incomplete longitudinal observations, enabling precision health monitoring and intervention planning. C_LIO_LIBy leveraging a transformer-based architecture, MicroProphet accurately reconstructs microbial community trajectories using as little as 30% of initial time points, without the need for data interpolation. C_LIO_LIThe framework demonstrates robust cross-ecosystem generalizability across clinical, early-life development, and forensic contexts. C_LIO_LIMicroProphet empowers real-time tracking of microbial shifts, early detection of disease-associated transitions, and timing optimization for microbiome-targeted therapeutic strategies. C_LI
Matching journals
The top 6 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- Microbiome-based correction for random errors in nutrient profiles derived from self-reported dietary assessments 97%
- Multi-omic integration of microbiome data for identifying disease-associated modules 96%
- Growth phase estimation for abundant bacterial populations sampled longitudinally from human stool metagenomes. 96%
Similar papers in this journal
- MDITRE: scalable and interpretable machine learning for predicting host status from temporal microbiome dynamics 97%
- Compositional transformations can reasonably introduce phenotype-associated values into sparse features 96%
- MNetClass: A Control-Free Microbial Network Clustering Framework for Identifying Central Subcommunities Across Ecological Niches 95%
Similar papers in this journal
- Pairing Metagenomics and Metaproteomics to Characterize Ecological Niches and Metabolic Essentiality of gut microbiomes 96%
- A flexible high-throughput cultivation protocol to assess the response of individuals' gut microbiota to diet-, drug-, and host-related factors 93%
- Revealing Community Dynamics in Polymicrobial Infections through a Quantitative Framework 93%
Similar papers in this journal
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.