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Range-wide responses to an extreme heat event in Mimulus cardinalis

Albano, L. J.; Bingham, R. A.; Correa, S.; Laufenberg, C. G.; Payst, C.; Muir, C. D.; Sheth, S. N.

2025-05-07 evolutionary biology
10.1101/2025.05.01.651703 bioRxiv
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PremiseExtreme events are an understudied aspect of ongoing anthropogenic climate change that could play a disproportionate role in the threat that rapid environmental shifts pose to natural populations. MethodsWe used a short-term heatwave treatment in controlled growth chamber environments to study evolutionary responses in Mimulus cardinalis populations to a recent repeated extreme heat event. Individuals from before (ancestors) and after (descendants) this extreme heat event were resurrected from seeds harvested from six populations across the range of M. cardinalis, and their physiological, performance, and functional responses (stomatal conductance, leaf temperature difference, photosystem II efficiency, relative growth rate, specific leaf area, and leaf dry matter content) to the heatwave treatment were assessed. Key ResultsOur results allow for two main conclusions: 1) plants responded favorably to the heatwave treatment in terms of their overall performance and the magnitude of response was generally greatest among trailing-edge populations, and 2) despite some evidence of divergent evolutionary responses among regions to the recent natural extreme heat event, we did not find adaptive evolution that affected how M. cardinalis populations responded to the heatwave treatment. ConclusionsThese results demonstrate that many M. cardinalis populations may be residing in natural environments that are below their optimum average temperature, indicating that M. cardinalis populations could exhibit resiliency to future warming. However, limited evolutionary responses in M. cardinalis to the recent extreme heatwave could still indicate that there is potential for future vulnerability to extreme climate events of increased intensity, frequency, and duration in the future.

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