The influence of larval retention on coral recruitment

Marine broadcast spawners typically exhibit bipartite life-histories with distinct pelagic larvae and benthic phases. The transition between phases shapes benthic populations, but the rate of larval arrival to a reef is largely unknown due to challenges in accurately measuring supply. Once larvae arrive to a reef, reduced current flow and velocity, facilitate the transition from the water column to the benthos for inefficient swimming larvae. Yet, for coral reefs characterised by complex hydrodynamics and tides, slack current conditions typically last 1.5-3 hours and it remains unclear if such short retention periods drive significant recruitment. This study mechanistically examined the effects of water retention on the settlement of coral larvae from the water column to the benthos and subsequent longer-term recruitment over 15-months. Brief periods of slack currents (<3-hours) retained larvae in unconstrained larval supply treatments, resulting in settlement rates 40-times higher than natural, background rates. Constrained and longer retention of larvae under nets for 2.5- and 24-hours resulted in 4-7-times higher initial settlement than the unconstrained treatment and 305-times higher than background rates. However, after 15-months, similar numbers of surviving recruits were observed across all larval supply treatments, highlighting the effects of density-dependent population regulation. Observations from recruitment tiles show survival rates of coral recruits after 15-months were low (<0.25), even though gregarious settlement behaviour and settlement close to tile edges improved survival. In contrast, observations from the natural substrate show survival rates were 2.5-3.5-times higher than tiles after 15-months, indicating density-independent survival due to optimal niche space and less space limitation. Therefore, when larval supply is high and gregarious behaviour prominent, key vital rates including recruitment and mortality derived from settlement tiles are likely overestimated, as substrate and microhabitat properties between tiles and natural reef environment vary. Overall, our study highlights the prominent role of slack current conditions and local retention of larvae in facilitating the supply-to-settlement transition, and how this interacts with density-dependent processes post-settlement. Our findings underscore the need to investigate how the interaction strengths of pre-and post-settlement processes modulate early coral recovery to best model recovery trajectories for conservation and restoration prioritisation.