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Influenza vaccine effectiveness against medically attended outpatient illness, United States, 2023-24 season

Chung, J.; Price, A.; Zimmerman, R.; Moehling Geffel, K.; House, S.; Curley, T.; Wernli, K.; Phillips, C. H.; Martin, E. T.; Vaughn, I.; Murugan, V.; Scotch, M.; Saade, E.; Faryar, K.; Gaglani, M.; Ramm, J.; Williams, O.; Walter, E.; Kirby, M.; Keong, L.; Kondor, R.; Ellington, S.; Flannery, B. L.; US Flu VE Network Investigators,

2024-10-30 epidemiology
10.1101/2024.10.29.24316377 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe 2023-24 U.S. influenza season was characterized by a predominance of A(H1N1)pdm09 virus circulation with co-circulation of A(H3N2) and B/Victoria viruses. We estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) in the United States against mild-to-moderate medically attended influenza illness in the 2023-24 season. MethodsWe enrolled outpatients aged [≥]8 months with acute respiratory illness in 7 states. Respiratory specimens were tested for influenza type/subtype by reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Influenza VE was estimated with a test-negative design comparing odds of testing positive for influenza among vaccinated versus unvaccinated participants. We estimated VE by virus sub-type/lineage and A(H1N1)pdm09 genetic subclades. ResultsAmong 6,589 enrolled patients, 1,770 (27%) tested positive for influenza including 796 A(H1N1)pdm09, 563 B/Victoria, and 323 A(H3N2). Vaccine effectiveness against any influenza illness was 41% (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 32 to 49): 28% (95% CI: 13 to 40) against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, 68% (95% CI: 59 to 76) against B/Victoria, and 30% (95% CI: 9 to 47) against A(H3N2). Statistically significant protection against any influenza was found for all age groups except adults aged 50-64 years. Lack of protection in this age group was specific to influenza A-associated illness. We observed differences in VE by birth cohort and A(H1N1)pdm09 virus genetic subclade. ConclusionsVaccination reduced outpatient medically attended influenza overall by 41% and provided protection overall against circulating influenza A and B viruses. Serologic studies would help inform differences observed by age groups. Key PointsInfluenza vaccine reduced the risk of outpatient illness due to influenza during the 2023-24 season. Protection varied by age group and influenza virus type.

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