Improving GWAS performance in underrepresented groups by appropriate modeling of genetics, environment, and sociocultural factors

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and polygenic score (PGS) development are typically constrained by the data available in biobank repositories in which European cohorts are vastly overrepresented. Here, we increase the utility of non-European participant data within the UK Biobank (UKB) by characterizing the genetic affinities of UKB participants who self-identify as Bangladeshi, Indian, Pakistani, "White and Asian" (WA), and "Any Other Asian" (AOA), towards creating a more robust South Asian sample size for future genetic analyses. We assess the relationships between genetic structure and self-selected ethnic identities and use consistent patterns of clustering in the dataset to train a support vector machine (SVM). The SVM was utilized to reassign n = 1,853 AOA and WA participants at the subcontinental level, and increase the sample size of the UKB South Asian group by 1,381 additional participants. We further leverage these samples to assess GWAS performance and PGS development. We include environmental covariates in the height GWAS by implementing a rigorous covariate selection procedure, and compare the outputs of two GWAS models: GWASnull and GWASenv. We show that PGS performance derived from both GWAS models yield comparable prediction to PGS models developed with an order of magnitude larger training, and environmentally-adjusted PGS models reduce the sex-bias in predictive performance. In summary, we demonstrate how GWAS performance can be improved by leveraging ambiguous ethnicity codes, ancestry matched imputation panels, and including environmental covariates.