No evidence that retinol is protective for skin cancer

With over 1.5 million new cases annually, skin cancers are the most commonly diagnosed group of cancers worldwide. Among these, melanoma and keratinocyte cancers (KC), comprising squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BCC), are predominant. Retinol, a vitamin A derivative, is essential in the regulation of growth and differentiation of epidermal cells. Moreover, retinol exhibits antioxidant properties, protecting the skin against ultra-violet (UV) radiation induced oxidative damage. Existing research on the impact of retinol on melanoma, SCC and BCC development shows mixed results. Several dietary intake studies have suggested that higher retinol levels reduce skin cancer risk, however, others have failed to find this association. We used two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to explore if there is a causal relationship between retinol and the risk of developing melanoma, SCC or BCC. Genetically predicted circulating retinol levels were obtained from a genome wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis of the INTERVAL (N=11,132) and METSIM (N=6,136) cohorts. Melanoma (30,134 cases and 375,188 controls), SCC (10,557 cases and 537,850 controls) and BCC (36,479 cases and 540,185 controls) risks were derived from published GWAS meta-analyses. We conducted two MR approaches. In the first MR we used a single SNP (rs10882283) that is associated with the levels of Retinol Binding Protein 4 (RBP4) as an instrument variable (IV) for circulating retinol levels. In the second MR we used all independent genetic variants that were strongly associated (P < 5 x 10-8) with retinol levels as IVs. Odds ratios (OR) for skin cancer were calculated for a one standard deviation (SD) increase in genetically predicted retinol levels. The single IV approach revealed that retinol levels were not significantly associated with risk of melanoma (OR = 1.04 [95% confidence interval 0.83, 1.31], P = 0.72), SCC (OR = 1.15[0.87, 1.51], P = 0.32) or BCC (OR = 1.06 [0.90, 1.23], P = 0.50). Similar null results were observed with the multiple IV approach for melanoma (OR = 1.03 [0.95, 1.11], P = 0.54), SCC (OR = 1.01 [0.91, 1.13], P = 0.83), and BCC (OR = 1.04 [0.96, 1.12], P = 0.38). In conclusion, we found no evidence that circulating retinol levels were causally associated with the development of melanoma, SCC and BCC.