Polygenic and transcriptional risk scores identify chronic obstructive pulmonary disease subtypes

RationaleGenetic variants and gene expression predict risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but their effect on COPD heterogeneity is unclear. ObjectivesDefine high-risk COPD subtypes using both genetics (polygenic risk score, PRS) and blood gene expression (transcriptional risk score, TRS) and assess differences in clinical and molecular characteristics. MethodsWe defined high-risk groups based on PRS and TRS quantiles by maximizing differences in protein biomarkers in a COPDGene training set and identified these groups in COPDGene and ECLIPSE test sets. We tested multivariable associations of subgroups with clinical outcomes and compared protein-protein interaction networks and drug repurposing analyses between high-risk groups. Measurements and Main ResultsWe examined two high-risk omics-defined groups in non-overlapping test sets (n=1,133 NHW COPDGene, n=299 African American (AA) COPDGene, n=468 ECLIPSE). We defined "High activity" (low PRS/high TRS) and "severe risk" (high PRS/high TRS) subgroups. Participants in both subgroups had lower body-mass index (BMI), lower lung function, and alterations in metabolic, growth, and immune signaling processes compared to a low-risk (low PRS, low TRS) reference subgroup. "High activity" but not "severe risk" participants had greater prospective FEV1 decline (COPDGene: -51 mL/year; ECLIPSE: - 40 mL/year) and their proteomic profiles were enriched in gene sets perturbed by treatment with 5-lipoxygenase inhibitors and angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors. ConclusionsConcomitant use of polygenic and transcriptional risk scores identified clinical and molecular heterogeneity amongst high-risk individuals. Proteomic and drug repurposing analysis identified subtype-specific enrichment for therapies and suggest prior drug repurposing failures may be explained by patient selection.