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{-}A simple mathematical model and physical device to estimate a woman-specific probability of skilled birth assistance and associated benefit of maternity waiting home stay

Gallien, J.; Chen, G.; Zhang, Y.; Du, Y.; Lori, J.; Sieka, J.; Tehoungue, B.

2024-04-03 health systems and quality improvement
10.1101/2024.04.02.24305221 medRxiv
Show abstract

This paper presents a simple mathematical model and an associated physical device to predict (i) the risk that a womans active labor will begin without a skilled birth attendant based on her parity and anticipated time to access skilled care; and (ii) the extent to which that risk may be reduced by moving to a maternity waiting home some time before her expected due date. This tool is designed to facilitate more systematic discussions and better-informed decisions about labour care access arrangements during antenatal consultations.

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