Back

Associations of Racial and Ethnic Composition of School Districts with Wildfire Smoke Exposure and Reduced In-Person Learning Among Schoolchildren During the Pandemic in the United States

Kim, D.

2023-09-25 public and global health
10.1101/2023.09.25.23296000 medRxiv
Show abstract

IntroductionThe White House has called for an "all-hands-on-deck" response to address chronic absenteeism and disrupted learning among K-12 students that spiked during the COVID-19 pandemic due to school closures and shifts to remote learning in the United States. Such learning disruptions are linked to test score declines with lifelong implications for earnings and well-being. This study aimed to identify higher-risk student populations that might benefit from interventions to reduce such disruptions and related inequities by estimating the linkages between the racial and ethnic composition of U.S. K-12 school districts as predictors of average wildfire smoke levels and year-over-year declines in in-person student visits to schools during the pandemic. MethodsUsing multivariable logistic regression, 5-year (2012-2016) mean percentages of non-White students grouped into quartiles were investigated as predictors of school district-level outcomes consisting of: 1) 5-year (2012-2016) mean levels of wildfire smoke fine particulate matter 2.5 m or smaller in diameter (PM2.5) above 35 g/m3 (EPA health-based standard) during school days for grade 3-8 students from August 15 to June 15 of the following year; and 2) being above the median for the mean decline in in-person student attendance (vs. the same month in 2019), from September 2020 to May 2021 and September 2021 to May 2022. ResultsAcross 11,190 (82.4% of all) U.S. school districts, the highest (vs. lowest) quartile for the percentage of non-White students predicted a nearly 3-fold higher odds (adjusted odds ratio, AOR=2.82; 95% CI=2.14-3.72; P<.001) for high wildfire smoke exposure and a 9-fold higher odds (AOR=9.12; 95% CI=7.15-11.63; P<.001) for substantially reduced in-person learning levels. Successively higher odds were observed in higher quartiles (P for trend <.001). Similar patterns were seen when high (vs. low) percentages of Asian-, Black-, and Hispanic-American students were modeled simultaneously. ConclusionsU.S. school districts with higher percentages of non-White students showed a convergence of elevated odds of wildfire smoke exposure and distance learning consistent with dose-response relationships. These concomitant risks could be mitigated by school-based air filtration interventions that reduce wildfire smoke PM2.5 and transmission of airborne particulates carrying the coronavirus. One potential cost-effective intervention to address these joint risks would be the placement of Corsi-Rosenthal boxes (DIY inexpensive portable air filtration devices shown to effectively reduce PM2.5 concentrations) in school classrooms and other school indoor areas. Supplying Corsi-Rosenthal boxes to school districts could markedly reduce learning disruptions and wildfire smoke and COVID-19 health impacts and their related inequities at a cost of less than $1 billion annually, 0.5% of the $190 billion in federal relief available to school districts to address pandemic-related needs including learning loss.

Matching journals

The top 10 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

50% of probability mass above

"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.