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Flexible Bayesian estimation of incubation times

2023-08-09 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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MotivationThe incubation period is of paramount importance in infectious disease epidemiology as it informs about the transmission potential of a pathogenic organism and helps to plan public health strategies to keep an epidemic outbreak under control. Estimation of the incubation period distribution from reported exposure times and symptom onset times is challenging as the underlying data is coarse. MethodologyWe develop a new Bayesian methodology using Laplacian-P-splines that provides a semi...

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