Examining Longitudinal Markers of Bladder Cancer Recurrence Through a Semi-Autonomous Machine Learning System for Quantifying Specimen Atypia from Urine Cytology

Urine cytology (UC) is generally considered the primary approach for screening for recurrence of bladder cancer. However, it is currently unclear how best to use cytological exams themselves for the assessment and early detection of recurrence, beyond identifying a positive finding which requires more invasive methods to confirm recurrence and decide on therapeutic options. As screening programs are frequent, and can be burdensome, finding quantitative means to reduce this burden for patients, cytopathologists and urologists is an important endeavor and can improve both the efficiency and reliability of findings. Additionally, identifying ways to risk-stratify patients is crucial for improving quality of life while reducing the risk of future recurrence or progression of the cancer. In this study, we leveraged a computational machine learning tool, AutoParis-X, to extract imaging features from UC exams longitudinally to study the predictive potential of urine cytology for assessing recurrence risk. This study examined how the significance of imaging predictors changes over time before and after surgery to determine which predictors and time periods are most relevant for assessing recurrence risk. Results indicate that imaging predictors extracted using AutoParis-X can predict recurrence as well or better than traditional cytological / histological assessments alone and that the predictiveness of these features is variable across time, with key differences in overall specimen atypia identified immediately before tumor recurrence. Further research will clarify how computational methods can be effectively utilized in high volume screening programs to improve recurrence detection and complement traditional modes of assessment.