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Relative effectiveness of BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and Ad26.COV2.S vaccines and homologous boosting in preventing COVID-19 in adults in the US

Nguyen, V. H.; Boileau, C.; Bogdanov, A.; Sredl, M.; Bonafede, M.; Ducruet, T.; Chavers, S.; Rosen, A.; Martin, D.; Buck, P.; Esposito, D.; Van de Velde, N.; Mansi, J. A.

2023-02-12 infectious diseases
10.1101/2023.02.10.23285603 medRxiv
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BackgroundFew head-to-head comparisons have been performed on the real-world effectiveness of COVID-19 booster vaccines. We evaluated the relative effectiveness (rVE) of a primary series of mRNA-1273 versus BNT162b2 and Ad26.COV2.S and a homologous mRNA booster against medically-attended, outpatient, and hospitalized COVID-19. MethodsA dataset linking primary care electronic medical records with medical claims data was used for this retrospective cohort study of US patients [≥]18 years vaccinated with a primary series between February and October 2021 (Part 1) and a homologous mRNA booster between October 2021 and January 2022 (Part 2). Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were derived from 1:1 matching adjusted across potential covariates. rVE was (1-HRadjusted) x 100. Additional analysis was performed across regions and age groups. ResultsFollowing adjustment, Part 1 rVE for mRNA-1273 versus BNT162b2 was 23% (95% CI: 22%-25%), 23% (22%-25%), and 19% (14%-24%) whilst the rVE for mRNA-1273 versus Ad26.COV2.S was 50% (48%-51%), 50% (48%-52%), and 57% (53%-61%) against any medically-attended, outpatient, and hospitalized COVID-19, respectively. The adjusted rVE in Part 2 for mRNA-1273 versus BNT162b2 was 14% (10%-18%), 13% (8%- 17%), and 19% (1%-34%) against any medically-attended, outpatient, and hospitalized COVID-19, respectively. rVE against medically-attended COVID-19 was higher in adults [≥]65 years (35%; 24%-47%) than those 18-64 years (13%; 9%-17%) after the booster. ConclusionsIn this study, mRNA-1273 was more effective than BNT162b2 or Ad26.COV2.S following primary series during a Delta-dominant period, and than BNT162b2 as a booster during an Omicron-dominant period. Key pointsmRNA-1273 was associated with a lower risk than BNT162b2 or Ad26.COV2.S of any medically-attended, outpatient, or hospitalized COVID-19 after primary series and of any medically-attended, outpatient, or hospitalized COVID-19 vs BNT162b2 after a homologous mRNA booster

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