Paracrine enhancement of tumor cell proliferation provides indirect stroma-mediated chemoresistance via acceleration of tumor recovery between chemotherapy cycles.

The ability of tumors to survive therapy reflects both cell-intrinsic and microenvironmental mechanisms. Across many cancers, including triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), a high stroma/tumor ratio correlates with poor survival. In many contexts, this correlation can be explained by the direct reduction of therapy sensitivity by stroma-produced paracrine factors. We sought to explore whether this direct effect contributes to the link between stroma and poor responses to chemotherapies. Our in vitro studies with panels of TNBC cell line models and stromal isolates failed to detect a direct modulation of chemoresistance. At the same time, consistent with prior studies, we observed treatment-independent enhancement of tumor cell proliferation by fibroblast-produced secreted factors. Using spatial statistics analyses, we found that proximity to stroma is often associated with enhanced tumor cell proliferation in vivo. Based on these observations, we hypothesized an indirect link between stroma and chemoresistance, where stroma-augmented proliferation potentiates the recovery of residual tumors between chemotherapy cycles. To evaluate the feasibility of this hypothesis, we developed a spatial agent-based model of stroma impact on proliferation/death dynamics. The model was quantitatively parameterized using inferences from histological analyses and experimental studies. We found that the observed enhancement of tumor cell proliferation within stroma-proximal niches can enable tumors to avoid elimination over multiple chemotherapy cycles. Therefore, our study supports the existence of a novel, indirect mechanism of environment-mediated chemoresistance that might contribute to the negative correlation between stromal content and poor therapy outcomes.