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Challenges in estimating waning effectiveness of two doses of BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 COVID-19 vaccines beyond six months: an OpenSAFELY cohort study using linked electronic health records

Horne, E. M.; Hulme, W. J.; Keogh, R. H.; Palmer, T. M.; Williamson, E.; Parker, E. P.; Walker, V. M.; Knight, R.; Wei, Y.; Taylor, K.; Fisher, L.; Morley, J.; Mehrkar, A.; Dillingham, I.; Bacon, S. C.; Goldacre, B.; Sterne, J. A.; The OpenSAFELY Collaborative,

2023-01-05 epidemiology
10.1101/2023.01.04.22283762 medRxiv
Show abstract

Quantifying the waning effectiveness of second COVID-19 vaccination beyond six months and against the omicron variant is important for scheduling subsequent doses. With the approval of NHS England, we estimated effectiveness up to one year after second dose, but found that bias in such estimates may be substantial.

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