Impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on disease trajectory in youth with T1D: An EHR-based cohort study from the RECOVER program
Prahalad, P.; Lorman, V.; Wu, Q.; Razzaghi, H.; Chen, Y.; Pajor, N. M.; Case, A.; Bose-Brill, S.; Block, J. P.; Patel, P.; Rao, S. P.; Mejias, A.; Forrest, C. B.; Bailey, L. C.; Jhaveri, R.; Thacker, D.; Christakis, D. A.; Lee, G. M.
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BackgroundPost-acute sequelae of SARS-Co-V-2 infection (PASC) is associated with worsening diabetes trajectory. It is unknown whether PASC in children with type 1 diabetes (T1D) manifests as worsening diabetes trajectory. ObjectiveTo explore the association between SARS-CoV-2 infection (COVID-19) and T1D-related healthcare utilization (for diabetic ketoacidosis [DKA] or severe hypoglycemia [SH]) or Hemoglobin (Hb) A1c trajectory. MethodsWe included children <21 years with T1D and [≥]1 HbA1c prior to cohort entry, which was defined as COVID-19 (positive diagnostic test or diagnosis code for COVID-19, multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children, or PASC) or a randomly selected negative test for those who were negative throughout the study period (Broad Cohort). A subset with [≥]1 HbA1c value from 28-275 days after cohort entry (Narrow Cohort) was included in the trajectory analysis. Propensity score-based matched cohort design followed by weighted Cox regression was used to evaluate the association of COVID-19 with healthcare utilization [≥]28 days after cohort entry. Generalized estimating equation models were used to measure change in HbA1c in the Narrow cohort. ResultsFrom 03/01/2020-06/22/2022, 2,404 and 1,221 youth met entry criteria for the Broad and Narrow cohorts, respectively. The hazard ratio for utilization was (HR 1.45 [95%CI,0.97,2.16]). In the Narrow Cohort, the rate of change (slope) of HbA1c increased 91-180 days after cohort entry for those with COVID-19 (0.138 vs. -0.002, p=0.172). Beyond 180 days, greater declines in HbA1c were observed in the positive cohort (-0.104 vs. 0.008 per month, p=0.024). ConclusionWhile a trend towards worse outcomes following COVID-19 in T1D patients was observed, these findings were not statistically significant. Continued clinical monitoring of youth with T1D following COVID-19 is warranted. Authorship StatementAuthorship has been determined according to ICMJE recommendations DisclaimerThe content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the RECOVER Program, the NIH or other funders. Funding SourceThis research was funded by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) Agreement OT2HL161847-01 as part of the Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) program of research.
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