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Integrated SARS-CoV-2 serological and virological screening across an acute fever surveillance platform to monitor temporal changes in anti-spike antibody levels and risk of infection during sequential waves of variant transmission - Dominican Republic, March 2021 to August 2022

Nilles, E. J.; de St. Aubin, M.; Dumas, D.; Duke, W.; Etienne, M. C.; Abdalla, G.; Jarolim, P.; Oasan, T.; Garnier, S.; Iihoshi, N.; Lopez, B.; De la Cruz, L.; Cornelio Puello, Y.; Baldwin, M.; Roberts, K. W.; Pena, F.; Durski, K.; Sanchez, I. M.; Gunter, S. M.; Kneubehl, A. R.; Murray, K. O.; Lino, A.; Strobel, S.; Baez, A. B.; Lau, C.; Kucharski, A. J.; Zielinski Gutierrez, E.; Skewes-Ramm, R.; Vasquez, M.; Then Paulino, C.

2022-10-26 infectious diseases
10.1101/2022.10.24.22281399 medRxiv
Show abstract

The global SARS-CoV-2 immune landscape and population protection against emerging variants is largely unknown. We assessed SARS-CoV-2 antibody changes in the Dominican Republic and implications for immunological protection against variants of concern. Between March 2021 and August 2022, 2,300 patients with undifferentiated febrile illnesses were prospectively enrolled. Sera was tested for total anti-spike antibodies and simultaneously collected nasopharyngeal samples for acute SARS-CoV-2 infection with RT-PCR. Geometric mean anti-spike titers increased from 6.6 BAU/ml (95% CI 5.1-8.7) to 1,332 BAU/ml (1055-1,682). Multivariable binomial odds ratios for acute SARS-CoV-2 infection were 0.55 (0.40-0.74), 0.38 (0.27-0.55), and 0.27 (0.18-0.40) for the second, third, and fourth versus the first anti-S quartile, with similar findings by viral strain. Integrated serological and virological screening can leverage existing acute fever surveillance platforms to monitor population-level immunological markers and concurrently characterize implications for emergent variant transmission in near real-time.

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