Monkeypox outbreak in the Netherlands in 2022: public health response, epidemiological and clinical characteristics of the first 1000 cases and protection of the first-generation smallpox vaccine
van Ewijk, C. E.; Miura, F.; Rijckevorsel, G.; de Vries, H. J.; Welkers, M. R. A.; van den Berg, O. E.; Friesema, I. H. M.; van den Berg, P.; Dalhuisen, T.; Wallinga, J.; Brandwagt, D.; van Cleef, B. A. G. L.; Vennema, H.; Voordouw, B.; Koopmans, M.; van der Eijk, A. A.; Swaan, C. M.; te Wierik, M. J. M.; Leenstra, T.; Op de Coul, E.; Franz, E.; the Dutch Monkeypox Response Team,
10.1101/2022.10.20.22281284 medRxivShow abstract
In early May 2022 a global outbreak of monkeypox (MPX) started among persons without a travel history to regions known to be enzootic for monkeypox-virus. On August 8 2022, the Netherlands reported its 1000th monkeypox case representing a cumulative incidence of 55 per million population, one of the highest cumulative incidences worldwide. Here we describe the epidemiological characteristics and clinical presentation of the first 1000 monkeypox cases in the Netherlands, within the context of the public health response. Additionally, we explored risk factors for and estimated the protective effect of first-generation smallpox vaccine against more severe MPX. The first 1000 MPX cases, reported between May 20 and August 8 2022, were predominantly MSM aged 31-45 years. The vast majority of infections were acquired through sexual contact with casual partners in private or recreational settings including LGBTQIA+ venues in the Netherlands. This indicates that, although some larger upsurges occurred from point-source and/or travel related events, the outbreak is mainly characterised by sustained transmission within the Netherlands. More severe MPX was associated with having one or more comorbidities as well as having participated in more (3+) different sexual activities 21 days before symptom onset. We found a vaccine effectiveness of the prior first-generation smallpox vaccine against more severe MPX of 58% (95% CI 17-78%), suggesting moderate protection against more severe MPX symptoms on top of any possible protection by this vaccine against MPXV infection and disease.
Matching journals
The top 4 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- Effectiveness of one dose of MVA-BN smallpox vaccine against monkeypox in England using the case-coverage method 95%
- Migration and Outbreaks of Vaccine-Preventable Disease in Europe: A Systematic Review 93%
- Protection against Omicron re-infection conferred by prior heterologous SARS-CoV-2 infection, with and without mRNA vaccination 92%
Similar papers in this journal
- Factors that influenced the course of the mpox outbreak in the Netherlands, 2022-2023 98%
- The risk of future mpox outbreaks among men who have sex with men: a modelling study based on cross-sectional seroprevalence data 94%
- Non-sexual community transmission of Mpox clade 1b in Uvira, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo: a descriptive study 92%
Similar papers in this journal
- Combining mpox vaccination and behavioural changes for mpox control among men who have sex with men: a mathematical modelling study 92%
- Measurement and interpretation of the Harare HIV combination prevention cascade in priority populations: A population survey of adolescent girls and young women and young men in Zimbabwe 91%
- The burden of SARS-CoV-2 Infection and Severe Illness in South Africa March 2020-August 2022: A synthesis of epidemiological data 90%
Similar papers in this journal
- Enhanced surveillance of monkeypox in Bas-Uele, Democratic Republic of Congo: the limitations of symptom-based case definitions. 93%
- Prevalence of IgG and IgM to SARS-CoV-2 and other human coronaviruses in The Democratic Republic of Congo, Sierra Leone and Uganda: A Longitudinal Study 92%
- Vaccine effectiveness with BNT162b2 (Comirnaty, Pfizer-BioNTech) vaccine against reported SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron infection among adolescents, Norway, August 2021 to January 2022 91%
Similar papers in this journal
- The global burden of HIV among Long-distance truck drivers: A systematic review and meta-analysis 92%
- Age-dependent inequalities in HIV/STI burden and care receipt among men and transgender persons who have sex with men in Nairobi 92%
- Efficacy of the Serogroup B Neisseria meningitidis Vaccine (4CMenB) in Preventing Experimental Neisseria gonorrhoeae Urethral Infection: A Double-Blind Randomized Controlled Human Challenge Study Protocol 91%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.