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Encoding generation time changes within reproduction numbers

2022-10-21 infectious diseases Title + abstract only
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We introduce the angular reproduction number {Omega}, which measures time-varying changes in epidemic transmissibility resulting from variations in both the effective reproduction number R, and generation time distribution w. Predominant approaches for tracking pathogen spread either infer R or the epidemic growth rate r. However, R is biased by mismatches between the assumed and true w, while r is difficult to interpret in terms of the individual-level branching process underpinning transmissio...

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