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Understanding Waiting Lists Pressures

Fong, K.; Mushtaq, Y.; House, T.; Gordon, D.; Chen, Y.; Griffiths, D.; Ahmad, S.; Walton, N.

2022-08-24 health systems and quality improvement
10.1101/2022.08.23.22279117 medRxiv
Show abstract

NHS waiting lists currently sit at record lengths due to a combination of the immediate impact of the pandemic and, as well as, long-run pressures requiring investment on NHS resources. These factors have left managers and clinicians with increasingly complex decisions when scheduling elective operations. It is imperative that managers understand the basic dynamics, tradeoffs, and pressures when managing waiting lists. Queueing theory is a key part of operational research, extensively used throughout manufacturing, retail, information technology and other sectors. This article provides an exposition of the theory of queues within the context of the current NHS backlog. With this information a manager will be able understand the demand, queue size, waiting times, capacity requirements and trade-offs for different waiting lists. We describe the metrics and a reporting system developed to understand waiting list pressures in a large NHS trust. Our aim is to enable managers to better understand their waiting lists, to achieve targets and improve health outcomes.

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