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Outcomes of a resource-adapted Wilms tumor treatment protocol in Lilongwe, Malawi, 2016-2021: successes and enduring barriers to cure.

Holmes, D.; Matitiyo, A.; Mpasa, A.; Huibers, M.; Manda, G.; Tomoka, T.; Mulenga, M.; Namazzi, R.; Mehta, P.; Zobeck, M.; Mzikamanda, R.; Chintagumpala, M.; Allen, C.; Nuchtern, J.; Borgstein, E.; Aronson, D. C.; Ozuah, N.; Nandi, B.; McAtee, C.

2022-08-09 oncology
10.1101/2022.08.08.22278537 medRxiv
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PurposeWilms tumor is a common renal cancer of childhood with long-term survival rates exceeding 80% in high-resource countries, yet survival remains below 50% in the low-resource settings of Africa. We assessed outcomes of a resource-adapted treatment protocol at a Malawian hospital to identify actionable factors affecting survival. MethodsWe assessed clinical outcomes with a single-center retrospective cohort study of children diagnosed between 2016 and 2021 in Lilongwe, Malawi. FindingsWe identified 136 patients with Wilms tumor, most commonly with stage III (25.7%) or IV disease (25.7%). Two-year overall survival (OS) was: Stage I, 78%; Stage II, 27%; Stage III, 62%; Stage IV, 23%, Stage V, 0%. Event-free survival (EFS) was: Stage I, 60%; Stage II, 0%; Stage III, 51%; Stage IV, 13%; Stage V, 0%. After death, treatment abandonment was the most common event comprising EFS, occurring in 26.5% of patients. Among 43% of patients who completed therapy, 2-year OS was 80% and EFS was 69%. Relapse was documented in 9.6% of patients. Radiotherapy was indicated for 40.4% patients, among whom only three received it due to regional unavailability. Factors associated with OS were severe acute malnutrition (Hazard ratio, HR, 1.9), increasing tumor stage (HR, 1.5), and inferior vena cava involvement (HR, 2.7). On multivariable analysis, only tumor stage remained associated with outcome. InterpretationImplementing a curative resource-adapted treatment protocol in an extremely resourced-constrained environment was feasible in Malawi and resulted in relatively favorable outcomes in low-stage disease, particularly among those who completed therapy. However, factors such as late-stage disease, frequent abandonment, and absent radiotherapy represent ongoing implementation barriers that should be the focus of continued research funding and intervention in Africa.

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