Effectiveness of BNT162b2 booster doses in England: an observational study in OpenSAFELY-TPP
Hulme, W. J.; Williamson, E. J.; Horne, E.; Green, A. C.; Nab, L.; Keogh, R.; Parker, E. P.; Walker, V. M.; Palmer, T. M.; Curtis, H. J.; Wiedemann, M.; Cunningham, C.; Walker, A. J.; Fisher, L.; MacKenna, B.; Rentsch, C. T.; Schultze, A.; Bhaskaran, K.; Tazare, J.; Tomlinson, L. A.; McDonald, H. I.; Morton, C. E.; Croker, R.; Andrews, C. D.; Hopcroft, L. E.; Park, R. Y.; Massey, J.; Mehrkar, A.; Morley, J.; Bacon, S. C.; Evans, D.; Inglesby, P.; Hickman, G.; Davy, S.; Dillingham, I.; Ward, T.; Mahalingasivam, V.; Zheng, B.; Douglas, I. J.; Evans, S. J.; Bates, C.; Sterne, J. A.; Hernan, M. A.
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BackgroundThe UK COVID-19 vaccination programme delivered its first "booster" doses in September 2021, initially in groups at high risk of severe disease then across the adult population. The BNT162b2 Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine was used initially, with Moderna mRNA-1273 subsequently also used. MethodsWe used the OpenSAFELY-TPP database, covering 40% of English primary care practices and linked to national coronavirus surveillance, hospital episodes, and death registry data, to estimate the effectiveness of boosting with BNT162b2 compared with no boosting in eligible adults who had received two primary course vaccine doses between 16 September and 16 December 2021 when the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 was dominant. Follow up was for up to 10 weeks. Each booster recipient was matched with an unboosted control on factors relating to booster priority status and prior immunisation. Additional factors were adjusted for in Cox models estimating hazard ratios (HRs). Outcomes were positive SARS-CoV-2 test, COVID-19 hospitalisation, COVID-19 death and non-COVID-9 death. Booster vaccine effectiveness was defined as 1-HR. ResultsAmong 4,352,417 BNT162b2 booster recipients matched with unboosted controls, estimated effectiveness of a booster dose compared with two doses only was 50.7% (95% CI 50.1-51.3) for positive SARS-CoV-2 test, 80.1% (78.3-81.8) for COVID-19 hospitalisation, 88.5% (85.0-91.1) for COVID-19 death, and 80.3% (79.0-81.5) for non-COVID-19 death. Estimated effectiveness was similar among those who had received a BNT162b2 or ChAdOx1-S two-dose primary vaccination course, but effectiveness against severe COVID-19 was slightly lower in those classified as clinically extremely vulnerable (76.3% (73.1-79.1) for COVID-19 hospitalisation, and 85.1% (79.6-89.1) for COVID-19 death). Estimated effectiveness against each outcome was lower in those aged 18-65 years than in those aged 65 and over. ConclusionOur findings are consistent with strong protection of BNT162b2 boosting against positive SARS-CoV-2 test, COVID-19 hospitalisation, and COVID-19 death.
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