Infectiousness of places: The impact of human settlement and activity space in the transmission of COVID-19
Liu, L.; Wang, H.; Zhang, Z.; Zhang, W.; Zhuang, S.; Lv, T.; Chio, C.-o.; Wang, Y.; Dao, R.; Tang, C.; Ao-Ieong, O.-I.
Show abstract
Places are fundamental factors in the spread of epidemics, as they are where people agglomerate and interact. This paper explores how different types of places--activity spaces at micro-level and human settlements at macro-level--impact the transmission of infections using evidences from COVID-19. We examine eleven types of activity spaces and find heterogeneous impacts across countries, yet we also find that non-essential activity spaces tend to have larger impacts than essential ones. Contrary to common beliefs, settlement size and density are not positively associated with reproduction numbers. Further, the impacts of closing activity spaces vary with settlement types and are consistently lower in larger settlements in all sample countries, suggesting more complex pattern of virus transmission in large settlements. This work takes first steps in systematically evaluating the epistemological risks of places at multiple scales, which contributes to knowledge in urban resilience, health and livability. TeaserActivity spaces and human settlement characteristics impact the spread of epidemics in multiple ways and should be considered in policy making.
Matching journals
The top 7 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- Characterizing Population-level Changes in Human Behavior during the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States 94%
- Tracking and predicting the African COVID-19 pandemic 94%
- Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan 94%
Similar papers in this journal
- Disentangling the rhythms of human activity in the built environment for airborne transmission risk: a large-scale analysis of mobility data 94%
- Estimation and worldwide monitoring of the effective reproductive number of SARS-CoV-2 93%
- Estimating the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 during periods of high, low and zero case incidence 92%
Similar papers in this journal
- Modeling serological testing to inform relaxation of social distancing for COVID-19 control 94%
- Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics 94%
- Using high-resolution contact networks to evaluate SARS-CoV-2 transmission and control in large-scale multi-day events 94%
Similar papers in this journal
- Long-term changes in human mobility responses to COVID-19-related information in Japan 95%
- A causal inference approach for estimating effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions during Covid-19 pandemic 94%
- Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on the number of new infections with COVID-19 during the first epidemic wave 94%
Similar papers in this journal
- Public Mobility Data Enables COVID-19 Forecasting and Management at Local and Global Scales 94%
- Transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in a strictly-Orthodox Jewish community in the UK 94%
- Infection control strategies in essential industries: using COVID-19 in the food industry to model economic and public health trade-offs 94%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.