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morse: an R-package in support of Environmental Risk Assessment

Charles, S.; Baudrot, V.

2021-06-02 ecology
10.1101/2021.04.07.438826 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Package morse is devoted to the analysis of experimental data collected from standard toxicity tests. It provides ready-to-use functions to visualize a data set and to estimate several toxicity indices to be further used in support of environmental risk assessment in full compliance with regulatory requirements. Such toxicity indices are indeed classical requested by standardized regulatory guidelines on which national agencies base their evaluation of applications for marketing authorisation of chemical active substances. Package morse can be used to get estimates of LCx (x% Lethal Concentration) or ECx (x% Effective Concentration) by fitting standard exposure-response models on toxicity test data. Risk indicator estimates as well as model parameters are provided along with the quantification of their uncertainty. Package morse can also be used to get estimates of the NEC (No Effect Concentration) by fitting a Toxicokinetic-Toxicodynamic (TKTD) model (namely GUTS models, that is General Unified Threshold models of Survival). Using GUTS models also allow to get estimates of LC(x,t) (whatever x and t) and LP(x,t), this later being defined by EFSA as the x% multiplication factor leading to an additional reduction of x% in survival at the end of the exposure profile. Above all, GUTS models can be used on data collected under time-variable exposure profiles. This paper illustrates a typical use of morse with survival data collected over time and at different increasing exposure concentrations, analysed with the reduced version of GUTS models based on the stochastic death hypothesis (namely, the GUTS-RED-SD model). This example can be followed step-by-step to analyse any new data set, as long as the data set format is respected.

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