In-person schooling and COVID-19 transmission in Canada's three largest cities
Bignami, S.; Boujija, Y.; Fisman, D.; Sandberg, J.
Show abstract
In North America and Europe, the Fall 2020 school term has coincided with the beginning of the second wave of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, sparking a heated debate about the role of in-person schooling for community transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). This issue has immediate policy relevance for deciding how to operate schools safely as the pandemic unfolds, new variants of SARS-CoV-2 are circulating, and immunization coverage remains low. We contribute to this debate by presenting data on trends in COVID-19 weekly incidence among school-aged children 0-19 years old vis-a-vis other age groups during Fall 2020 in Canadas three largest cities: Montreal, Toronto and Calgary. We interpret these trends in light of the different back-to-school policies and other public health measures implemented in the three cities over the observation period. KEY POINTSO_LISchool closures are an effective measure to reduce the overall incidence of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). Nonetheless, there is a general consensus that the decision to close schools to control the spread of COVID-19 should be used as last resort because of the negative impact on childrens development and mental health, and since they are less likely to have severe COVID-19 outcomes than adults. C_LIO_LIExisting evidence highlights the importance of adopting appropriate mitigation strategies for limiting COVID-19 community spread when returning to in-person schooling. To understand the association between in-person schooling and COVID-19 transmission given different mitigation strategies, especially universal masking and distance learning, we compare how the second wave of COVID-19 has affected school-aged children age 0-19 years old vis-a-vis other age groups in Montreal, Toronto and Calgary during Fall 2020. C_LIO_LIThe case of Montreal attests to the negative consequences of not implementing recommended migration strategies when reopening schools, even when public health measures such as gatherings restrictions are in place to maintain low levels of community transmission. On the contrary, school measures adopted in Toronto (optional distance learning and masking mandates), have limited the role of COVID-19 transmission among school-aged children for overall community transmission. In Calgary, this effect has been smaller, likely because public health measures to limit COVID-19 community spread were not introduced until early December 2020. C_LIO_LIOur findings have immediate policy relevance for deciding how to operate schools safely as the pandemic unfolds, new variants of SARS-CoV-2 are circulating, and immunization coverage remains low. C_LI
Matching journals
The top 9 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- Experience with open schools and preschools in periods of high community transmission of COVID-19 in Norway during the academic year of 2020/2021. 93%
- Quantifying Contact Patterns in Response to COVID-19 Public Health Measures in Canada 92%
- Time trends in social contacts before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: the CONNECT study 92%
Similar papers in this journal
- Social contacts and transmission of COVID-19 in British Columbia, Canada 91%
- Strategies to Estimate Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies in a Texas Vulnerable Population: Results from Phase I of the Texas Coronavirus Antibody REsponse Survey (TX CARES) 89%
- Cross-sector Decision Landscape in Response to COVID-19: A Qualitative Analysis of North Carolina Decision-Makers 89%
Similar papers in this journal
- SARS-CoV-2 transmission in K-12 schools in the Vancouver Coastal Health Region: a descriptive epidemiologic study 93%
- Heterogeneity in risk, testing and outcome of COVID-19 across outbreak settings in the Greater Toronto Area, Canada: an observational study 90%
- What factors converged to create a COVID-19 hot-spot? Lessons from the South Asian community in Ontario 90%
Similar papers in this journal
- Pediatric household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 infection 93%
- Susceptibility to and transmission of COVID-19 amongst children and adolescents compared with adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis 90%
- Impacts of school closures on physical and mental health of children and young people: a systematic review 88%
Similar papers in this journal
- COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and refusal and associated factors in an adult population in Saskatchewan, Canada: Evidence from predictive modelling 91%
- Modifications to student quarantine policies in K–12 schools implementing multiple COVID-19 prevention strategies restores in-person education without increasing SARS-CoV-2 transmission risk, January-March 2021 91%
- Continued Age Shift of Confirmed Positive COVID-19 Incidence Over Time to Children and Young Adults: Washington State March - August 2020 91%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.