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The COVID-19 Incarceration Model: a tool for corrections staff to analyze outbreaks of COVID-19

Kwon, J. A.; Bretana, N. A.; Grant, L.; Galouzis, J.; Hoey, W.; Blogg, J.; Lloyd, A. R.; Gray, R. T.

2021-02-21 infectious diseases
10.1101/2021.02.18.21252032 medRxiv
Show abstract

Correctional facilities are at high risk of COVID-19 outbreaks due to the inevitable close contacts in the environment. Such facilities are a high priority in the public health response to the epidemic. We developed a user-friendly Excel spreadsheet model (building on the previously developed Recidiviz model) to analyze COVID-19 outbreaks in correctional facilities and the potential impact of prevention strategies -the COVID-19 Incarceration Model. The model requires limited inputs and can be used by non-modelers. The impact of a COVID-19 outbreak and mitigation strategies is illustrated for an example prison setting.

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