Estimating COVID-19 Cases on University Campuses Prior To Semester
Fout, A.; Bayham, J.; Gutilla, M. J.; Fosdick, B. K.; Pidcoke, H.; Kirby, M.; van Leeuwen, P. J.; Anderson, C.
Show abstract
For many institutions of higher learning, the beginning of each semester is marked by a significant migration of young adults into the area. In the midst of the COVID19 pandemic, this presents an opportunity for active cases to be introduced into a community. Prior to the Fall 2020 semester, Colorado State University researchers combined student home locations with recent case counts compiled by the New York Times to assign a probability to each individual of arriving with COVID19. These probabilities were combined to estimate that there would be 7.8 new cases among the on-campus population. Comprehensive testing of arriving students revealed 7 new cases, which validated the approach. The procedure was repeated to explore what could happen if students had returned to campus after Fall break. The estimate of 48 cases corroborated the Universitys early decision to transition to fully remote learning after break.
Matching journals
The top 7 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
- Surveillance-to-Diagnostic Testing Program for Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infections on a Large, Urban Campus - Georgia Institute of Technology, Fall 2020 95%
- Estimating SARS-CoV-2 transmission parameters between coinciding outbreaks in a university population and the surrounding community 94%
- The Epidemiological Implications of Jails for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks from COVID-19 90%
Similar papers in this journal
- SARS-CoV-2 transmission potential and rural-urban disease burden disparities across Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi, March 2020 — May 2021 92%
- Spatially refined time-varying reproduction numbers of SARS-CoV-2 in Arkansas and Kentucky and their relationship to population size and public health policy, March – November, 2020 92%
- The emergence, surge and subsequent wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in New York metropolitan area: The view from a major region-wide urgent care provider 91%
Similar papers in this journal
- COVID-19 Prevention at Institutions of Higher Education, United States, 2020 – 2021: Implementation of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions 95%
- Lessons Learned From the Implementation of a Participant-Collected, Mail-Based SARS-CoV-2 Serological Survey in Massachusetts, USA 93%
- Feasibility and effectiveness of daily temperature screening to detect COVID-19 in a large public university setting 93%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.