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Minimizing cumulative risk to control airborne transmission of SARS-Cov-2 in schools

Zivelonghi, A.; Lai, M.

2020-12-22 occupational and environmental health
10.1101/2020.12.19.20248493 medRxiv
Show abstract

Open schools in winter in highly epidemic areas pose a controversial issue: ventilation of classrooms (an essential mitigation factor for airborne transmission) is expected to sensibly decrease due to outdoor temperatures getting colder and regulators going to allow less restrictive policies on windows closure. Fundamental questions to be addressed are therefore: to which extent can we contain airborne transmission risk in schools? what would be the optimal ventilation strategy during the cold season considering the fact that most schools are not provided with mechanical ventilation systems? To try answering these questions a risk model for airborne transmission of covid-19 in classrooms has been develped based on previous models for tubercolosis and influenza. The separate cases of infective student and infective teacher, as well as infective teacher with microphone are investigated. We explored 3500 different air ventilation cycles for different lesson+break times and carried out a numerical optimization of the risk function. Safety risk-zones for breaks and lessons durations were estimated combining the effect of surgical masks and optimal windows opening cycles.

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"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.