Thinking ahead: prediction in context as a keystone of language in humans and machines

Departing from traditional linguistic models, advances in deep learning have resulted in a new type of predictive (autoregressive) deep language models (DLMs). Using a self-supervised next-word prediction task, these models are trained to generate appropriate linguistic responses in a given context. We provide empirical evidence that the human brain and autoregressive DLMs share three fundamental computational principles as they process natural language: 1) both are engaged in continuous next-word prediction before word-onset; 2) both match their pre-onset predictions to the incoming word to calculate post-onset surprise (i.e., prediction error signals); 3) both represent words as a function of the previous context. In support of these three principles, our findings indicate that: a) the neural activity before word-onset contains context-dependent predictive information about forthcoming words, even hundreds of milliseconds before the words are perceived; b) the neural activity after word-onset reflects the surprise level and prediction error; and c) autoregressive DLM contextual embeddings capture the neural representation of context-specific word meaning better than arbitrary or static semantic embeddings. Together, our findings suggest that autoregressive DLMs provide a novel and biologically feasible computational framework for studying the neural basis of language.