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Modeling COVID-19 as a National Dynamics with a SARS-CoV-2 Prevalent Variant: Brazil - A Study Case

2020-09-27 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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COVID-19 global dynamics is modeled by an adaptation of the deterministic SEIR Model, which takes into account two dominant lineages of the SARS-CoV-2, and a time-varying reproduction number to estimate the disease transmission behavior. Such a methodology can be applied worldwide to predict forecasts of the outbreak in any infected country. The pandemic in Brazil was selected as a first study case. Brazilian official published data from February 25th to August 30th, 2020 was used to adjust a fe...

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