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Periodic variations in the Covid-19 infection and fatality rates

Peirani, S.; Pacheco, J. A. d. F.; Icard, P.

2020-09-10 infectious diseases
10.1101/2020.09.08.20190751 medRxiv
Show abstract

Power spectra of infection and mortality rate curves for nineteen countries of different continents were computed. Nine of them show the presence of oscillations with a period of about seven says either in the infection or in the mortality data sets. The computed power spectra for seven countries do no indicate any significant signal of periodicity while the three remaining countries indicate periodic oscillations only in the infection or only in the mortality curve. Data indicate that minima occur generally on weekends. The seven-day periodicity present in infection data of nine countries is robust and seems to be the consequence of different factors as, for instance, higher testing frequency during weekdays or/and an enhanced contamination during social activities during weekends. For the moment, there is no convincing explanation for the seven-day oscillations observed in the mortality curves of some countries.

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