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Epidemics forecast from SIR-modeling, verification and calculated effects of lockdown and lifting of interventions

2020-08-15 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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Due to the current COVID-19 epidemic plague hitting the worldwide population it is of utmost medical, economical and societal interest to gain reliable predictions on the temporal evolution of the spreading of the infectious diseases in human populations. Of particular interest are the daily rates and cumulative number of new infections, as they are monitored in infected societies, and the influence of non-pharmaceutical interventions due to different lockdown measures as well as their subsequen...

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