Back

Model-free estimation of COVID-19 transmission dynamics from a complete outbreak

2020-07-24 epidemiology Title + abstract only
View on medRxiv
Show abstract

New Zealand had 1499 cases of COVID-19 before eliminating transmission of the virus. Extensive contract tracing during the outbreak has resulted in a dataset of epidemiologically linked cases. This data contains useful information about the transmission dynamics of the virus, its dependence on factors such as age, and its response to different control measures. We use Monte-Carlo network construction techniques to provide an estimate of the number of secondary cases for every individual infecte...

Predicted journal destinations

1
PLOS Computational Biology
141 training papers
Top 0.9% 11.7%
2
PLOS ONE
1737 training papers
Top 57% 10.9%
3
Epidemics
96 training papers
Top 0.4% 7.8%
4
Scientific Reports
701 training papers
Top 27% 7.8%
5
Nature Communications
483 training papers
Top 16% 6.4%
6
Royal Society Open Science
49 training papers
#1 6.4%
7
Journal of The Royal Society Interface
54 training papers
Top 0.5% 5.6%
8
eLife
262 training papers
Top 12% 3.8%
9
Eurosurveillance
77 training papers
Top 3% 1.9%
10
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
100 training papers
Top 5% 1.9%
11
Epidemiology and Infection
80 training papers
Top 5% 1.9%
12
BMC Medicine
155 training papers
Top 12% 1.9%
13
BMC Public Health
148 training papers
Top 16% 1.9%
14
Journal of Theoretical Biology
29 training papers
Top 1.0% 1.9%
15
Infectious Disease Modelling
50 training papers
Top 4% 1.5%
16
International Journal of Epidemiology
65 training papers
Top 6% 1.5%
17
Science
46 training papers
Top 3% 1.3%
18
American Journal of Epidemiology
54 training papers
Top 5% 1.3%
19
BMC Infectious Diseases
110 training papers
Top 18% 1.2%
20
Emerging Infectious Diseases
84 training papers
Top 12% 1.1%
21
Clinical Infectious Diseases
219 training papers
Top 23% 1.0%
22
Virus Evolution
26 training papers
Top 0.9% 0.9%
23
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
166 training papers
Top 17% 0.9%
24
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
115 training papers
Top 24% 0.7%
25
BMJ Open
553 training papers
Top 67% 0.7%
26
Nature Medicine
88 training papers
Top 18% 0.7%
27
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance
45 training papers
Top 10% 0.7%
28
Epidemiology
26 training papers
Top 2% 0.7%