Statistical analysis of national & municipal corporation level database of COVID-19 cases In India
Bajaj, N. S.; Pardeshi, S. S.; Patange, A. D.; Kotecha, D.; Mate, K. K.
Show abstract
Since its origin in December 2019, Novel Coronavirus or COVID-19 has caused massive panic in the word by infecting millions of people with a varying fatality rate. The main objective of Governments worldwide is to control the extent of the outbreak until a vaccine or cure has been devised. Machine learning has been an efficient mechanism to train, map, analyze, and predict datasets. This paper aims to utilize regression, a supervised machine learning algorithm to assess time-series datasets of COVID-19 pandemic by performing comparative analysis on datasets of India and two Municipal Corporations of Maharashtra, namely, Mira-Bhayander and Akola. Current study is an attempt towards drawing attention to the dynamics and nature of the pandemic in a controlled locality such as Municipal Corporation; which differs from the exponential nature observed nationally. However, for limited area like the one considered the nature of curve is observed to be cubic for total cases and multi-peak Gaussian for active cases. In conclusion, Government should empower district/ corporations/local authorities to adopt their own methodology and decision-making policy to contain the pandemic at regional-level like the case study discussed herein.
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