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The effect of international travel restrictions on internal spread of COVID-19

2020-07-14 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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BackgroundCountries have restricted international arrivals to delay the spread of COVID-19. These measures carry a high economic and social cost. They may have little impact on COVID-19 epidemics if there are many more cases resulting from local transmission compared to imported cases. MethodsTo inform decisions about international travel restrictions, we compared the ratio of expected COVID-19 cases from international travel (assuming no travel restrictions) to the expected COVID-19 cases aris...

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