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The reproduction number R for COVID-19 in England: Why hasn't ''lockdown'' been more effective?

2020-07-05 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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The reproduction number R, the average number of people that a single individual with a contagious disease infects, is central to understanding the dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic. Values greater than one correspond to increasing rates of infection, and values less than one indicate that control measures are being effective. Here, we summarise how changes in the behaviour of individuals alter the value of R. We also use matrix models that correctly recreate distributions of times that individu...

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